Christopher Powers, Golf Digest staff writer: Collin Morikawa (21-1, FanDuel) As much as Id love to make this a consensus Willy Z week, I have to stick with Morikawa, who came close for me at both Torrey and Riviera. News; Wikipedia; CBS Sports 2023-02-28: The PGA Tour schedule continues He is statistically among the top 15 golfers in terms of strokes gained on, off, and tee-to-green gains (seventeenth-best) due to his high percentage of green-in-regulation hits (69.83 percent). Most Likely To Disappoint: Brooks Koepka ($9,000 DraftKings | $11,300 FanDuel). From Golf Digest Architecture Editor emeritus Ron Whitten: I've always been fascinated by the design of Bay Hill, Arnold Palmer's home course for over 45 years (although Tiger Woods owns it, competitively-speaking, as he's won there eight times.) At these odds, I love for him to show up to a place hes comfortable at and get back to his DNA. HyperFlex Carbon The new HyperFlex Carbon offers tour-proven enhancements, delivering unquestioned innovation, comfort, stability and visual design. Ill elaborate more below. Genesis: Justin Thomas. Every golfer dreams of getting their handicap down, and weve got news for you. Aside from winning the Shriners Childrens Open last fall, I have been somewhat quiet since then but havent ceased putting up impressive numbers. A field made up of the top 30 golfers in the season-long FedEx Cup standings. 2023 Australian Golf Digest. Golf betting online is readily available at most online sportsbooks for all of the PGA Tour tournaments throughout the season. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. For every tournament, bettors can place a slew of prop bets on everything. Riviera is a much more friendly setup to Theegala than TPC Scottsdale. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. His past 10 starts have produced seven top-20s, including two victories. Hatton has historically been a good iron player, gaining 0.25 strokes per round over his past 100 rounds. Mitchell has proven to possess a few skills that will be very valuable at Southern Hills. Over his past 14 starts worldwide, hes notched 10 top-20 finishes, including a win on the DP World Tour and a T-2 in his most recent start. RELATED: Arnold Palmer: 10 rules for a golf life. Longshot pick to win WM Phoenix Open: J.T. A significant restoration by Gil Hanse and his team a few years ago has restored fairway widths, so finding fairways wont be as essential. High Upside: Kevin Na ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). If youre looking to place a bet, there are a myriad of markets to choose from. As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. Scottie Scheffler claimed the first major title of the PGA Tours 2022 season. RELATED:Fans are freaking out over the beer (and water) prices at Southern Hills, Most Likely To Disappoint: Branden Grace ($6,700 DraftKings | $7,900 FanDuel). Follow him on Twitter: @gdula13. Adrian Meronk ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,500 FanDuel). Hes separating himself from his peers on approach and with the putter, two skills that will be rewarded again this week. Riviera Country Club is one of the best courses on the PGA Tour, and Tiger Woods is back to play at his own event. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. McIlroy, for his part, was T13 in his lone appearance here in 2021. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. Lack: Rory McIlroy (+110) over Jon Rahm (PointsBet) This matchup will be extremely fun to track, as I believe Rory McIlroy and Jon Rahm have emerged as far and away the two best players in the world. how much money or how much time. Thats one of his better stretches since early 2020. Jed Morgan scores LIV Golfs golden ticket as big-name stars plan Aussie escape. The last time Zalatoris competed in this event, he placed 29th. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. In the last year, hes lost 0.24 strokes putting per round and has lost 0.09 per round in the short-game categories combined. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. Shriners: Sungjae Im. The short par-70 course proved to be a success for Kevin Kisner. I think this is a spot where we can fade Rahm, on a course that favors the drawers of the ball. After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. Over the past 50 rounds, Thomas is gaining 1.00 strokes on approach, the second-best mark in the field (behind only Viktor Hovland), according to the RickRunGood.com golf database. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Thats something Niemann thrived with during his win at Riviera earlier this year. His floor is very high right now, and he has two runner-up finishes in his past five trips to Riviera. Safest Option: Matt Fitzpatrick ($7,900 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). PGA picks this week can be made or broken by the tiny variances in schedules and tournaments. Hes a big hitter with an all-around game. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. After placing T6 in his 2019 tournament debut, he has since gone on to place T9 and T24 in his subsequent appearances. That makes four top 15s worldwide in his past five startsall with gains off-the-tee and on approach. Corey Conners ($7,600 DraftKings | $9,600 FanDuel). But its the site of an annual PGA Tour event, which is even better exposure to the golf world. This includes the United States, to who they believe will make the cut, or even who they believe will shoot an ace. He's got 18.78 percent of the vote, followed by Will Zalatoris (15.66 percent) and Shane Lowry (15.46 percent). He drives the ball beautifully, ranked inside the top 10 in SG/off the tee this season, and he hits his long irons very well. Adding to . Hes seen tangible improvements with the putter, gaining 21.07 strokes over his last 17 startscompared to losing 20.66 strokes in the 17 starts prior. While the first playoff event is typically reserved for the top. Though still volatile, hes starting to get a hair more consistentposting three top-five finishes in his past eight starts. Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. Lack: Cameron Young (+360, DraftKings) I have been surprised to see Cameron Young slide so quickly in the betting markets, despite nearly winning two majors last year and emerging as the best player in the world without a PGA Tour victory. Tardy was one of 46 players to get LPGA Tour cards for the 2023 season on Sunday after the conclusion of the eight-round marathon that is LPGA Q Series. Youll likely know pretty quickly with Kim, either hes making everything or nothing. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. I expect Im to miss the cut this week, which would likely be in his best interest anyway to get a couple days off before the Players Championship next week. The content on this site is for entertainment and educational purposes only. Therefore, we assume no responsibility for actions taken as a result of information on this site 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational predictions, expert picks, odds, golf best bets, field rankings at Bay Hill. February 28, 2023 12:30 pm ET. RELATED: Breaking down Tiger Woods' record at Riviera Country Club, Riviera Country Club is one of the best courses on the schedule, demanding precision from tee through green. There was a world in which I considered Tom Kim as an outright pick this week. Everything that we just said about Schauffele applies here. Depending on the site you use, you can bet on a player to finish in the top five, ten, or even forty at a tournament, and a variety of other markets. American Express: Cameron Young. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. Its difficult to predict who will win the tournament outright. The other criterion is that you must be in a state where sports betting is permitted. 2023 Fantasy Golf Rankings, News and Draft Kit DraftKings PGA: Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks and Strategy Rory McIlroy has quite the track record at Bay Hill, and that garners him a spot among Len Hochberg's picks to click in this week's contests on DraftKings. RELATED: Our latest podcast explores the gambling revolution already hitting golf, Pick To Win: Billy Horschel ($7,400 DraftKings | $9,100 FanDuel). Hes been bleeding strokes back to the field the closer he gets to the green. Hes played this event four times and has yet to make the cut. 72-hole winning score: 279.5 (Par 288) In total, 27 of the top 30 players in the Official World Golf Rankings tee it up at Bay Hill. With an emphasis on ball-striking this week, that could be important. His advanced metrics show a well-rounded golfer who can compete in strong fields. Now everybodys hopping off at 65-1? Golf betting record in 2023 through Sony: 3-5-1, -1.274 units (0-2 on outrights, 0.5 unit bets) One-and-Done record in 2023: $333,387.22 (Cam Davis taken at Sony, $41,387.22) PGA Tour expert. The Tour Championship is the pinnacle of achievement on the PGA TOUR. He faltered and finished third but has. Hes dropped strokes to the field driving and on approach in consecutive events for the first time since earning his full tour card, but the long irons have continued to be much better than the field, and while distance is always going to be lacking, his accuracy continues to be elite. USE OF AND/OR REGISTRATION ON ANY PORTION OF THIS SITE CONSTITUTES ACCEPTANCE OF OURVISITOR AGREEMENT(UPDATED 1/6/23),PRIVACY AND COOKIES NOTICE(UPDATED 1/4/23) ANDCALIFORNIA PRIVACY NOTICE. 2 Scottie Scheffler is back to. Gdula: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradleys number on FanDuel Sportsbook is a lot longer than youll see in other places. Hes never played API, but hes been especially potent on Bermudagrass in his short career. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Genesis Invitational. managing editor: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) This is inching toward a community bet, and golf betting isnt that easy. We warned you guys after Scottie Schefflers win in Phoenix once this panel gets hot, we tend to run hot! Few golfers possess the upside that Na doesevidenced by his five wins since 2018. Hes trending toward another victory. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in PGA TOUR Fantasy Golf. Sanderson Farms Championship: J.T. Powers, Golf Digest: Justin Thomas (20-1, Bet365) Im normally a if you can get JT at 20-1 or better, take it) guy, but Im just not loving what were seeing from him so far this season. Weve been tracking Thomas for weeks, and he seemed poised for an upturn. The only thing that scares me about Justin Thomas is that his approach play in his most recent starts hasnt been up to his lofty standards. Luckily for Thomas, he has both. The best thing about betting on golf is that there are so many ways to get involved. 0.18. If he can lean into either one of those talents and tap into that upside, Na could be a scary contender at Southern Hills. There are many bookmakers that offer head-to-head matchup golf betting odds for every round of the tournament, as well as for the full event. His 27 FSWA nominations lead all writers this decade and are second-most all-time. He just needs to translate that global success to the PGA Tour, but his skill set should match up to Riviera.
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