Supply-chain issues continued to improve. Notably, retailers reported modestly declining prices, and transportation firms indicated that their prices were flat. Summary of Economic Activity
Labor market pressures eased somewhat, but wage pressures persisted. Auto dealers in Little Rock noted that inventories remain too low to meet demand at current prices, especially in used cars, and that they had a surprising surge in foot traffic shortly after Thanksgiving. District general retailers, auto dealers, and hospitality contacts reported generally lower business activity and a mixed outlook. Supply chain disruptions persisted, with several contacts reporting delays in receiving machinery and parts. Retailers reported moderate growth in sales and revenues due, in part, to the holiday shopping season. 2901) and is implemented by Regulation BB (12 CFR 228). Two-thirds of respondents to a District business conditions poll reported no change to the prices they charged for their products and services in December from a month earlier; about half of firms said their nonlabor input prices were unchanged. Bankers experienced steady interest from borrowers across the Commercial and Industrial and Commercial Real Estate segments of their loan portfolios, despite higher interest rates on new originations. Food prices rose significantly. Practices, Structure and Share Data for the U.S. Offices of Foreign
Weaker spending categories included furniture and toys. Digital payments and the growth of private money are two factors helping drive an increasing focus on central bank digital currencies (CBDCs), said Federal Reserve Governor Lael Brainard. Practices, Structure and Share Data for the U.S. Offices of Foreign
Homebuilders continued to report weak demand and a modest decline in contract signings for new homes. Financial Institutions
Fed Needs High Rates for a While to Cool Prices, Mester Says. Core deposits declined, and some lenders attributed this decline to customers' seeking higher-yielding alternatives and to increased deposit rate competition among banks. Wage growth proceeded at an above-average pace. Growth in overall energy activity slowed across the District, as falling oil and gas prices were a headwind to new drilling and production. Looking for a job to take me into retirement. $128,300 Yearly. Dr. Mester was born in Baltimore, Maryland. Memphis retailers reported weaker than expected sales. Wage growth remained modest, while the pace of input and selling price increases slowed. Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, 20th Street and Constitution Avenue N.W., Washington, DC 20551. Consumer spending increased slightly, with some retailers reporting more robust sales over the holidays. The index for new orders fell further and was negative for the seventh consecutive month. This number represents the median, which is the midpoint of the ranges from our proprietary Total Pay Estimate model and based on salaries collected from our users. Covers the state of Ohio; 56 counties in eastern Kentucky; 19 counties in western Pennsylvania; and 6 counties in northern West Virginia . Most contacts in the District reported gradual improvement in farm income and credit conditions, but others noted that drought had weakened conditions for some producers. Based on 8 salaries posted anonymously by Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland Economist employees in Bexley, OH. Loan volumes declined for the third reporting period in a row, and loan demand fell further. Commercial and industrial loan growth increased slightly, while consumer loan growth decreased moderately. Contacts noted that supply chain bottlenecks ameliorated further, but transportation and materials costs remained elevated. This website uses cookies to ensure the best user experience. Several contacts in the Pacific Northwest and California noted that overall commercial real estate activity softened in recent weeks due to higher interest rates. Organized labor and staffing contacts reported high demand for workers who could fill positions immediately. Services, Sponsorship for Priority Telecommunication Services, Supervision & Oversight of Financial Market
However, weaker demand led homebuilders to use more incentives and discounts to close sales, while general merchandisers and apparel retailers used more promotions over the holiday shopping season to move goods and reduce inventories. system. Overall, prices continued to grow strongly in recent weeks; however, some input prices eased. These expected annual inflation rates for the next 30 years are produced by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland. Hear from local leaders and community development experts about economic problems their communities face and the solutions they are putting forth. Prices received by farmers in November increased from a year earlier for corn, wheat, soybeans, sugar beets, potatoes, hay, hogs, cattle, turkeys, chickens, and eggs; prices for chickpeas and canola decreased from a year ago. Prices
In addition, employees who carpool can park free at the Board. Other headwinds cited were elevated input costs, labor shortages, and higher labor costs. Tourism activity in New York City strengthened further in December. The DBP Inclusion Index application helps companies target their efforts to understand gaps and provide specific strategies and programs, tools and resources to help raise the bar on D&I strategies. Contacts again overwhelmingly reported loan price increases, and credit standards and terms continued to tighten. Prices
Capital and technology spending was flat or, in one case, experienced a modest decline that was attributed to the rise of cloud-based computing. January 27, 2023, Federal Reserve Bank and Branch Directors, Transcripts and other historical materials, Federal Reserve Balance Sheet Developments, Community & Regional Financial Institutions, Federal Reserve Supervision and Regulation Report, Federal Financial Institutions Examination Council (FFIEC), Securities Underwriting & Dealing Subsidiaries, Types of Financial System Vulnerabilities & Risks, Monitoring Risk Across the Financial System, Proactive Monitoring of Markets & Institutions, Responding to Financial System Emergencies, Regulation CC (Availability of Funds and Collection of Checks), Regulation II (Debit Card Interchange Fees and Routing), Regulation HH (Financial Market Utilities), Federal Reserve's Key Policies for the Provision of Financial Services, Sponsorship for Priority Telecommunication Services, Supervision & Oversight of Financial Market Infrastructures, International Standards for Financial Market Infrastructures, Payments System Policy Advisory Committee, Finance and Economics Discussion Series (FEDS), International Finance Discussion Papers (IFDP), Estimated Dynamic Optimization (EDO) Model, Aggregate Reserves of Depository Institutions and the Monetary Base - H.3, Assets and Liabilities of Commercial Banks in the U.S. - H.8, Assets and Liabilities of U.S. Wage and benefit costs continued to increase, though at a slower pace than in the prior reporting period. Commercial Banks, Senior Loan Officer Opinion Survey on Bank Lending
Business loan quality decreased slightly, though one contact noted that loan quality remained strong in multifamily housing as rents stayed high. Summary of Economic Activity
Real Estate and Construction
Contacts noted some construction materials prices, such as wallboard, fell substantially, while other materials prices remained stable but high. Several sectors reported higher prices, including health care, food services, hospitality, insurance, and air travel. As a part of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland's Treasury Services team, we embrace the challenge of consistently delivering exceptional work to benefit the Treasury, our organization, federal agencies, businesses, financial institutions, and individuals. Contacts in the transportation & warehousing sector also noted declining activity, while wholesale distributors indicated flat activity. [Right/Left Arrows] seeks the video forwards and back (5 sec ); [Up/Down Arrows] increase/decrease volume; [F] toggles fullscreen on/off (Except IE 11); The [Tab] key may be used in combination with the [Enter/Return] key to navigate and activate control buttons, such as caption on/off. Reported anonymously by Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond employees. Prior to being named president and chief executive officer of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, Dr. Mester had been executive vice president and director of research at the Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia, where she was the chief policy adviser and oversaw the economists and analysts in the Research Department as well as professionals in the Financial Statistics Department and the Payment Cards Center. Energy activity continued to increase moderately, and agriculture conditions were generally unchanged or improving. http://glassdoor.com/slink.htm?key=vQHWm, We're proud of being named a DiversityInc Top Regional Company for the 4th consecutive year. Adverse weather conditions negatively impacted agricultural yields across the District, including for cherries, grapes, and nuts. The cotton market continued to soften amid decreased demand from textile mills. Economic activity in the Tenth District continued to decline slightly through the end of 2022. While reports of supply chain disruptions were less frequent than in recent reporting periods, one HVAC producer said that her firm's sales had declined slightly because of customers' inability to secure necessary components. The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland is part of the nation's central bank and we've provided many opportunities for professional growth during our history. Outlooks deteriorated overall, with a majority of contacts citing weakening demand and/or potential recession as a primary concern going forward. Public sector reports were mixed. Branch Banks at Cincinnati, Ohio, and Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Several real estate firms and mortgage providers reported reducing the number of open positions in response to moderating demand and noted that recent hiring freezes and layoffs in the technology sector improved the size and quality of the applicant pool. Heavy machinery orders were steady. Office rents were steady to up slightly across the District; aside from New York City, office rents are near or above pre-pandemic levels. Employment rose more modestly this period compared to recent months and some firms noted hitting limits on wage increases. The Board provides a 100 percent employer matching contribution of up to the first 7 percent of your salary that you contribute to your Thrift Plan. The Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland is part of the nation's central bank. Hours good. A producer of home furnishing products noted that raw materials prices have come down less than 10 percent, but "we have had to reduce pricing by around 20 percent to get additional business." A suburban Minnesota mall estimated that sales rose by 5 to 10 percent, with high traffic volumes even during the week. In recent weeks, those cancelled purchases were backfilled by secondary buyers seeking homes. United States, Structure and Share Data for U.S. Offices of Foreign Banks, Financial Accounts of the United States - Z.1, Household Debt Service and Financial Obligations Ratios, Survey of Household Economics and Decisionmaking, Industrial Production and Capacity Utilization - G.17, Factors Affecting Reserve Balances - H.4.1, Federal Reserve Community Development Resources. Get similar jobs sent to your email. Demand for unemployment insurance remained low. Prices were down moderately, while rents decreased modestly. Financial Services
One firm that reported strong sales indicated that it was gaining market share from failing competitors, not economic growth. Price pressures have abated most significantly in the trade, transportation, and manufacturing sectors. Price increases were more commonly seen in the exchanges between firms for intermediate goods. For more information about District economic conditions visit: https://www.atlantafed.org/economy-matters/regional-economics.aspx. District agriculture conditions are favorable and have remained largely unchanged since our previous report. Washington. Summary of Economic Activity
Construction and Real Estate
Commercial real estate activity decreased moderately, with contacts reporting that obtaining financing for deals was very difficult. Construction activity for multifamily housing varied across the District as activity was solid in Northern California and Washington but down in Oregon. Employment levels grew at a modest pace during the reporting period as labor availability improved across the District. Narrow your search to the areas that interest you. Nonfinancial Services
The First District's commercial real estate market was relatively unchanged in recent weeks. Overall domestic agricultural sales were up in terms of dollars but down in volume. Real Estate and Construction
Though labor demand cooled further, contacts reported ongoing tightness and persistent wage pressures. Rental vacancy rates, though still quite low, have risen modestly.
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